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Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Caceres R.
11' Event
Mancini V.
46'
Sub
Vila J. In: Frascone N.
Out: Vila J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Real Pilar and Arsenal Sarandi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Pilar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Real Pilar
15%
Draws
42%
Arsenal Sarandi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Pilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arsenal Sarandi come out ahead of Real Pilar on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Arsenal Sarandi taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 21%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Pilar Arsenal Sarandi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi
2:1
May 10, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Real Pilar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Pilar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancini V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riquelme M. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Arsenal Sarandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kestler I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Pilar 29 / 100
Arsenal Sarandi 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Pilar Arsenal Sarandi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal Sarandi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pilar found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Real Pilar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Arsenal Sarandi has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Pilar VS Arsenal Sarandi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Pilar

(Home)
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Villa Dalmine
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Real Pilar
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Real Pilar
05 Sept
Real Pilar
0 : 2
Talleres Remedios Escalada
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Arsenal Sarandi

(Away)
10 Oct
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 1
San Martin Burzaco
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0
Arsenal Sarandi
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
CSD Liniers
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 39 20 12 7 53:26 72
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 39 17 14 8 39:24 65
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Deportivo Armenio 39 17 10 12 42:38 61
8 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
9 Comunicaciones 39 14 14 11 39:34 56
10 Laferrere 39 13 13 13 47:51 52
11 San Martin Burzaco 39 12 14 13 40:44 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Dep. Merlo 39 10 15 14 37:52 45
15 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 39 9 17 13 32:39 44
17 CSD Liniers 39 10 14 15 32:40 44
18 Flandria 39 11 9 19 35:48 42
19 Defensores Unidos 39 9 14 16 33:40 41
20 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 39 1 13 25 27:64 16
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)