Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Pilar vs Excursionistas

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Pilar play Excursionistas in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Pilar averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1 conceded. Excursionistas averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Real Pilar won 1, Excursionistas won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Real Pilar and 1.63 for Excursionistas. This points to a Excursionistas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Pilar
44%
Draws
20%
Excursionistas
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Excursionistas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Real Pilar.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 14%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Pilar Excursionistas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Excursionistas
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Excursionistas
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Real Pilar
0:0
Jun 10, 2023 Primera C
Real Pilar vs Excursionistas
2:3
Feb 6, 2023 Primera C
Excursionistas vs Real Pilar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Pilar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Excursionistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Polvera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Pilar 35 / 100
Excursionistas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Pilar Excursionistas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pilar scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Excursionistas let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Real Pilar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Excursionistas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Pilar VS Excursionistas
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas23136434:1545
2Talleres Remedios Escalada23136426:1045
3Arsenal Sarandi23128333:1744
4Villa Dalmine23127428:1343
5Deportivo Camioneros23118427:1541
6Sportivo Italiano2398623:2035
7Real Pilar2397725:2434
8Deportivo Armenio2395925:2732
9San Martin Burzaco23710623:2031
10Comunicaciones2387826:2531
11Argentino de Merlo2387821:2131
12Laferrere2387825:2931
13Dep. Merlo2387827:3531
14Dock Sud2369824:2227
15Argentino de Quilmes2369824:2527
16CSD Liniers2368916:2326
17Defensores Unidos2359919:2424
18Brown Adrogue23581016:2723
19UAI Urquiza23313712:2022
20Flandria23641318:3022
21Villa San Carlos23491024:3021
22Ituzaingo23161617:419