Sport Picks
Real Pilar vs Excursionistas
Argentina
Primera B Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Crocco M. In: Martinez F.
Out: Crocco M.
55'
55'
Escurra N.
56'
56'
Fernandez M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Real Pilar and Excursionistas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Excursionistas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 68%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Pilar | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Excursionistas
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Excursionistas
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Real Pilar
0:0
Jun 10, 2023 Primera C
Real Pilar vs Excursionistas
2:3
Feb 6, 2023 Primera C
Excursionistas vs Real Pilar
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Pilar Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Polvera M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Pilar 41 / 100
Excursionistas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Pilar Excursionistas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Pilar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Real Pilar scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Excursionistas let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Real Pilar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Real Pilar VS Excursionistas
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Pilar
(Home) 11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Real Pilar
05 Sept
Real Pilar
0 : 2 Talleres Remedios Escalada
29 Aug
Laferrere
1 : 1 Real Pilar
25 Aug
Real Pilar
2 : 0 Brown Adrogue
22 Aug
Deportivo Armenio
0 : 1 Real Pilar
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Real Pilar
0 : 2 Talleres Remedios Escalada
25 Aug
Real Pilar
2 : 0 Brown Adrogue
15 Aug
Real Pilar
0 : 0 Flandria
01 Aug
Real Pilar
2 : 1 Defensores Unidos
18 Jul
Real Pilar
0 : 1 Dock Sud
Page 1 of 3
Excursionistas
(Away) 07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
22 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2 Excursionistas
15 Aug
Excursionistas
5 : 3 Laferrere
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
22 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2 Excursionistas
08 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Jul
Flandria
1 : 1 Excursionistas
14 Jul
Defensores Unidos
0 : 2 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 45:22 | 63 |
| 3 | Deportivo Camioneros | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 40:20 | 63 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 37:17 | 63 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 35:17 | 60 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 41:26 | 58 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 37:34 | 52 |
| 8 | Comunicaciones | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 36:33 | 50 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:44 | 47 |
| 11 | Dock Sud | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 38:35 | 43 |
| 12 | Argentino de Merlo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 30:34 | 41 |
| 13 | San Martin Burzaco | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 31:36 | 41 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 34:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Villa San Carlos | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:38 | 39 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 27:35 | 37 |
| 18 | Flandria | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 29:42 | 35 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 28:36 | 34 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 21:35 | 34 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 34 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 17:29 | 31 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 35 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 22:55 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
