Sport Picks

Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte

1 de Mayo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Potosi play 1 de Mayo in the Copa Simon Bolivar. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Potosi averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. 1 de Mayo averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Real Potosi won 1, 1 de Mayo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 23, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Real Potosi and 0.53 for 1 de Mayo. This points to a Real Potosi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Real Potosi

16%

Draws

40%

1 de Mayo

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Real Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Real Potosi picked up more points recently compared to 1 de Mayo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.53 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Real Potosi Clean Sheet 30%

1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Potosi	1 de Mayo
Matches Played	32	18
Wins	14	9
Draws	8	0
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.5	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.72
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar

1 de Mayo vs Real Potosi

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Nov 16, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar

Real Potosi vs 1 de Mayo

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 0 - 4

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Potosi 46 / 100

1 de Mayo 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Potosi 1 de Mayo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Potosi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Potosi attacking → ← attacking 1 de Mayo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Potosi scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

1 de Mayo let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Real Potosi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

1 de Mayo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 27

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.67

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33