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Real Potosi vs Academia del Balompie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rivas J.
Assist: Rojas J.
25'
Vedia C.
33'
Condori E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Real Potosi
15%
Draws
20%
Academia del Balompie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Academia del Balompie haven't matched Real Potosi's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Real Potosi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Potosi, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Potosi have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Real Potosi Clean Sheet 20%
Academia del Balompie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Potosi Academia del Balompie
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 2
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.46 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Copa Pacena
Real Potosi vs Academia del Balompie
3:1
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Pacena
Academia del Balompie vs Real Potosi
2:3
Jul 9, 2026 Division Profesional
Real Potosi vs Academia del Balompie
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rojas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Academia del Balompie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Potosi 32 / 100
Academia del Balompie 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Potosi Academia del Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academia del Balompie let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Real Potosi scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Real Potosi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Potosi VS Academia del Balompie
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Potosi

(Home)
06 Oct
Real Potosi
4 : 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Aurora
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3 : 0
Real Potosi
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

Academia del Balompie

(Away)
10 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Academia del Balompie
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
02 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Academia del Balompie
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)