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Real Refineros vs Artesanos Metepec

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Real Refineros and Artesanos Metepec finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Artesanos Metepec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Refineros
15%
Draws
49%
Artesanos Metepec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Artesanos Metepec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Artesanos Metepec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Real Refineros Clean Sheet 20%
Artesanos Metepec Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Refineros Artesanos Metepec
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 2 20
Draws 1 4
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.97
Goals Conceded 1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Real Refineros vs Artesanos Metepec
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Refineros 32 / 100
Artesanos Metepec 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Refineros Artesanos Metepec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Artesanos Metepec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Refineros found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).

Artesanos Metepec has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Real Refineros went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Refineros VS Artesanos Metepec
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.75
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Refineros

(Home)
20 Sept
CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
2 : 3
Real Refineros
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
06 Sept
Canoneros FC
0 : 1
Real Refineros
29 Aug
Real Refineros
1 : 2
Artesanos Metepec

Artesanos Metepec

(Away)
19 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
29 Aug
Real Refineros
1 : 2
Artesanos Metepec
18 Apr
Artesanos Metepec
0 : 1
FC Racing
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 4 3 0 1 11:4 10
2 Mineros de Fresnillo 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
3 Zapotlanejo 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Vaqueros 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
5 FC Santiago 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
6 Saltillo 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
7 Apodaca 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
8 Guerreros de Autlan 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
9 Correcaminos 2 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
10 Heroes de Zaci 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 4 3 1 0 8:2 11
3 Acambaro 4 3 1 0 12:2 10
4 Real Refineros 4 2 1 1 4:4 6
5 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 4 1 1 2 5:5 5
6 Halcones Negros 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
7 Calor De San Pedro 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
8 Guerreros del Pacifico 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
9 Ciervos 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
10 Canoneros FC 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)