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Real Refineros vs Calor De San Pedro

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Real Refineros and Calor De San Pedro finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Real Refineros
22%
Draws
24%
Calor De San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Real Refineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Calor De San Pedro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Refineros's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Real Refineros Clean Sheet 20%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Refineros Calor De San Pedro
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 8
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.34
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Real Refineros vs Calor De San Pedro
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Refineros 40 / 100
Calor De San Pedro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Refineros Calor De San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Refineros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Refineros found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).

Calor De San Pedro has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Real Refineros has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Calor De San Pedro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Refineros VS Calor De San Pedro
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.5
40% Over 1.5 38%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Refineros

(Home)
20 Sept
CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
2 : 3
Real Refineros
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
06 Sept
Canoneros FC
0 : 1
Real Refineros
29 Aug
Real Refineros
1 : 2
Artesanos Metepec

Calor De San Pedro

(Away)
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
18 Apr
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1
Calor De San Pedro
16 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
0 : 1
Deportiva Venados
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 4 3 0 1 11:4 10
2 Mineros de Fresnillo 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
3 Zapotlanejo 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Vaqueros 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
5 FC Santiago 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
6 Saltillo 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
7 Apodaca 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
8 Guerreros de Autlan 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
9 Correcaminos 2 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
10 Heroes de Zaci 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 4 4 0 0 10:2 13
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 4 3 1 0 8:2 11
3 Acambaro 4 3 1 0 12:2 10
4 Real Refineros 4 2 1 1 4:4 6
5 Calor De San Pedro 3 1 1 1 4:3 5
6 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 4 1 1 2 5:5 5
7 Halcones Negros 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
8 Guerreros del Pacifico 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
9 Ciervos 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
10 Canoneros FC 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)