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Real Rincon vs AS Le Gosier Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

Caribbean Club Shield 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Caribbean Club Shield 2022 game between Real Rincon and AS Le Gosier finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Le Gosier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Real Rincon
15%
Draws
76%
AS Le Gosier
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Le Gosier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Le Gosier come out ahead of Real Rincon on wins alone.
  • AS Le Gosier are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Caribbean Club Shield 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Real Rincon Clean Sheet 10%
AS Le Gosier Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Rincon AS Le Gosier
Matches Played 14 11
Wins 2 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.86 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2022 CFU Club Shield
Real Rincon vs AS Le Gosier
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Rincon 26 / 100
AS Le Gosier 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Rincon AS Le Gosier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Le Gosier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Le Gosier let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Real Rincon found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (14 games).

Solid form: Real Rincon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Rincon VS AS Le Gosier
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Rincon

(Home)
28 Jul
Academia Quintana
3 : 0
Real Rincon
26 Jul
Real Rincon
1 : 1
La Clery
28 Jul
Real Rincon
1 : 2
Grenades
19 Apr
Real Rincon
1 : 3
SWA Sharks
18 Apr
Real Rincon
0 : 5
Jong Holland
Page 1 of 3

AS Le Gosier

(Away)
20 Dec
AS Le Gosier
0 : 7
Lorient
29 Nov
AS Le Gosier
3 : 2
CMS Oissel
15 Nov
Moulien
2 : 3
AS Le Gosier
24 Apr
Jong Holland
0 : 2
AS Le Gosier
23 Apr
Inter Moengotapoe
4 : 0
AS Le Gosier
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayamon 2 1 1 0 9:3 4
2 Junior Stars 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 South East 2 0 1 1 1:7 1
4 Flames United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Caribbean Club Shield 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Holland 3 2 1 0 6:0 7
2 AS Le Gosier 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 SWA Sharks 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Real Rincon 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Caribbean Club Shield 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Moengotapoe 2 2 0 0 9:5 6
2 Golden Lion 2 1 0 1 11:4 3
3 Deportivo Nacional 2 0 0 2 2:13 0
Promotion - Caribbean Club Shield 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams