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Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS America First Field, Sandy, UT
Real Salt Lake Logo

Real Salt Lake

3 - 4
FT
FC Dallas Logo

FC Dallas

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Valiente J.
Assist: Ramiro
20' Event
Musa P.
Assist: Valiente J.
37'
Norris N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Dallas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Real Salt Lake
15%
Draws
69%
FC Dallas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Dallas come out ahead of Real Salt Lake on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Dallas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 13%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Salt Lake FC Dallas
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.59 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas
3:4
May 10, 2026 MLS
FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
3:1
Jan 30, 2026 Atlantic Cup
Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas
0:2
May 11, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Salt Lake Compare

Top Goalscorer Solans S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilavogui M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Dallas Compare

Top Goalscorer Musa P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Valiente J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Salt Lake 31 / 100
FC Dallas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Salt Lake FC Dallas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Dallas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Real Salt Lake scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

FC Dallas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Real Salt Lake remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Salt Lake VS FC Dallas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Salt Lake

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6

FC Dallas

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)