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Stadium Background

Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo

USA USA

MLS America First Field
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Salt Lake play Houston Dynamo in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Salt Lake averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Houston Dynamo averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Real Salt Lake won 3, Houston Dynamo won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Real Salt Lake and 1.31 for Houston Dynamo. This points to a Houston Dynamo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Real Salt Lake
22%
Draws
18%
Houston Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Real Salt Lake

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Houston Dynamo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Real Salt Lake.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Real Salt Lake.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 18%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Salt Lake Houston Dynamo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo
3:0
Jul 13, 2025 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
4:1
Aug 6, 2024 Leagues Cup
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Salt Lake Compare

Top Goalscorer Gozo Z.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Houston Dynamo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Salt Lake 58 / 100
Houston Dynamo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Salt Lake Houston Dynamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Salt Lake scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Houston Dynamo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Real Salt Lake went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Houston Dynamo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Salt Lake VS Houston Dynamo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307