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Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS America First Field, Sandy, UT
Real Salt Lake Logo

Real Salt Lake

1 - 1
FT
Minnesota United Logo

Minnesota United

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Booth Z.
15'
Sub
Booth Z. In: Marczuk D.
Out: Booth Z.
32'
Diaz J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Real Salt Lake
15%
Draws
0%
Minnesota United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Salt Lake

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Salt Lake carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 10%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Salt Lake Minnesota United
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United
1:1
May 23, 2026 MLS
Minnesota United vs Real Salt Lake
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United
1:3
Mar 30, 2025 MLS
Minnesota United vs Real Salt Lake
2:0
Jan 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Salt Lake Compare

Top Goalscorer Solans S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Minnesota United Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereyra J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Salt Lake 29 / 100
Minnesota United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Salt Lake Minnesota United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Salt Lake Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minnesota United has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Away concern: Minnesota United has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Real Salt Lake scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Real Salt Lake VS Minnesota United
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Salt Lake

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6

Minnesota United

(Away)
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2
Minnesota United
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)