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Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS America First Field, Sandy, UT
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hezarkhani A.
45'
Gil C.
46'
Guilavogui M.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Salt Lake.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Real Salt Lake
15%
Draws
64%
New England Revolution
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New England Revolution come out ahead of Real Salt Lake on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 12%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Salt Lake New England Revolution
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.61 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution
2:0
Mar 13, 2022 MLS
New England Revolution vs Real Salt Lake
2:3
Mar 22, 2020 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 MLS
New England Revolution vs Real Salt Lake
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Salt Lake Compare

Top Goalscorer Solans S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hezarkhani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

New England Revolution Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Salt Lake 30 / 100
New England Revolution 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Salt Lake New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Real Salt Lake scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Real Salt Lake went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Salt Lake VS New England Revolution
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Salt Lake

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)