Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real San Joaquin vs Concon National

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real San Joaquin play Concon National in the Segunda Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real San Joaquin averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Concon National averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Real San Joaquin won 1, Concon National won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Real San Joaquin and 1.13 for Concon National. This points to a Concon National double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Real San Joaquin
20%
Draws
50%
Concon National
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Concon National

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Real San Joaquin picked up more points recently compared to Concon National.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Real San Joaquin Clean Sheet 21%
Concon National Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real San Joaquin Concon National
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Concon National
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Real San Joaquin
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Concon National
0:4
Jun 20, 2025 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Real San Joaquin
3:1
Aug 11, 2024 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Concon National
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real San Joaquin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Concon National Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerda A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real San Joaquin 31 / 100
Concon National 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real San Joaquin Concon National

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Concon National or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real San Joaquin attacking → ← attacking Concon National

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real San Joaquin scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Concon National let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Real San Joaquin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Concon National lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 42
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santiago City1155116:1520
2Brujas Salamanca114709:419
3Concon National1153312:818
4Trasandino1153318:1518
5Real San Joaquin1134415:1213
6Atletico Colina1123610:139
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Osorno1165013:323
2Colchagua CD1164115:722
3Linares Unido1151512:1216
4General Velasquez114169:1513
5Lota Schwager113359:1112
6Deportes Rengo1132610:1511
7S. Morning122469:1410