Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real San Joaquin vs Osorno

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Gutierrez J.
26' Event
Duran F.
35' Event
Pacheco L.

AI Match Summary

Real San Joaquin in this Segunda Division 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real San Joaquin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Real San Joaquin
39%
Draws
30%
Osorno
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Osorno have won more games recently than Real San Joaquin.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Real San Joaquin Clean Sheet 20%
Osorno Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real San Joaquin Osorno
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Osorno
2:1
May 10, 2025 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Real San Joaquin
5:0
Oct 20, 2024 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Real San Joaquin
3:2
May 26, 2024 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Osorno
3:3
Aug 26, 2023 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Osorno
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real San Joaquin Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pacheco L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Osorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Bielkiewicz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real San Joaquin 32 / 100
Osorno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real San Joaquin Osorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Real San Joaquin scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Osorno let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Real San Joaquin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real San Joaquin VS Osorno
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real San Joaquin

(Home)
12 Jul
Atletico Colina
5 : 1
Real San Joaquin
05 Jul
Real San Joaquin
1 : 2
Trasandino
28 Jun
Brujas Salamanca
0 : 0
Real San Joaquin
21 Jun
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 6
Real San Joaquin
07 Jun
Real San Joaquin
0 : 1
Concon National
Page 1 of 6

Osorno

(Away)
12 Jul
Lota Schwager
2 : 2
Osorno
04 Jul
Osorno
3 : 0
General Velasquez
21 Jun
Colchagua CD
0 : 0
Osorno
06 Jun
Osorno
1 : 1
Linares Unido
30 May
S. Morning
0 : 0
Osorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Puerto Montt24166254:1754
2Linares Unido24136539:2745
3Brujas Salamanca24116733:2739
4Osorno24116749:3436
5Provincial Ovalle24106824:2136
6Concon National241031144:3633
7General Velasquez2488829:3632
8Trasandino24911434:4228
9Real San Joaquin24641422:4322
10Santiago City24551435:5820
11Deportes Rengo24531622:5218
12Melipilla24124842:33-14
13San Antonio Unido24941148:49-27
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Main)