Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real San Joaquin vs Trasandino

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Carreno J.
Penalty Missed
25'
Carrasco Reyes M. J.
31'
Contreras P.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Real San Joaquin and Trasandino finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trasandino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Real San Joaquin
20%
Draws
38%
Trasandino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real San Joaquin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Trasandino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Real San Joaquin a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Real San Joaquin Clean Sheet 20%
Trasandino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real San Joaquin Trasandino
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Trasandino
1:2
May 2, 2026 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Real San Joaquin
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Real San Joaquin
1:2
May 4, 2025 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Trasandino
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Real San Joaquin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real San Joaquin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Trasandino Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarrete C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuvertino E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real San Joaquin 42 / 100
Trasandino 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real San Joaquin Trasandino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trasandino conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Real San Joaquin scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Real San Joaquin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real San Joaquin VS Trasandino
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brujas Salamanca1257011:522
2Concon National1263316:1021
3Santiago City1255218:1920
4Trasandino1253419:1718
5Real San Joaquin1234516:1713
6Atletico Colina1233615:1412
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osorno1266015:524
2Colchagua CD1264215:1122
3Linares Unido1261516:1219
4General Velasquez1251611:1516
5Lota Schwager1234511:1313
6Deportes Rengo1232710:1711
7S. Morning122469:1410