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Real Santander vs Envigado Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Villa Concha, Piedecuesta
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Uribe N.
45' Event
Ramirez N.
46'
Sub
Ahumada S. In: Rey S.
Out: Ahumada S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Real Santander and Envigado finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real Santander
35%
Draws
32%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Envigado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 22%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Santander Envigado
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 3 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.76 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Primera B
Real Santander vs Envigado
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Guillen Sanchez J. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marulanda M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Santander 37 / 100
Envigado 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Santander Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Envigado has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Real Santander went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Real Santander scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Santander VS Envigado
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Santander

(Home)
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
29 Aug
Real Santander
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
Page 1 of 6

Envigado

(Away)
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Palmira 15 12 2 1 29:13 38
2 Union Magdalena 15 10 2 3 27:15 32
3 Quindio 15 9 4 2 20:10 31
4 Envigado 15 9 2 4 24:14 29
5 Cartagena 15 7 5 3 23:15 26
6 Bogota 15 6 5 4 16:14 23
7 Barranquilla 15 6 2 7 21:20 20
8 Tigres Futbol Club 15 5 5 5 15:14 20
9 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 4 7 4 13:14 19
10 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
11 Patriotas 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
12 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 2 7 6 15:20 13
13 Real Cundinamarca 15 2 7 6 14:19 13
14 Leones 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
15 Atletico F.C. 15 1 6 8 12:23 9
16 Real Santander 15 1 4 10 9:23 7
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)