Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real SC vs Lusitano GC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 Estádio do Real SC, Queluz
Real SC Logo

Real SC

0 - 2
FT
Lusitano GC Logo

Lusitano GC

Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Soares M.
68' Event
Gonzalez R.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lusitano GC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitano GC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Real SC
35%
Draws
25%
Lusitano GC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lusitano GC lately — more wins on the board than Real SC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Real SC Clean Sheet 68%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC Lusitano GC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Real SC vs Lusitano GC
0:2
Nov 26, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano GC vs Real SC
1:1
Apr 11, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano GC vs Real SC
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Real SC vs Lusitano GC
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lusitano GC Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 41 / 100
Lusitano GC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC Lusitano GC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitano GC let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Real SC's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS Lusitano GC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
18 Sept
Real SC
1 : 4
Academica
13 Sept
Real SC
5 : 5
Lajense
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
30 Aug
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Real SC
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Lusitano GC

(Away)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 26 16 5 5 45:21 53
2 Moncarapachense 26 14 7 5 29:17 49
3 Lusitano GC 26 11 13 2 28:9 46
4 Louletano 26 11 8 7 37:26 41
5 Sintrense 26 10 10 6 29:26 40
6 O Elvas CAD 26 10 9 7 34:27 39
7 FC Barreirense 26 11 6 9 31:25 39
8 Fabril do Barreiro 26 8 10 8 29:24 34
9 Serpa 26 10 4 12 27:30 34
10 Juv. Evora 26 8 8 10 26:25 32
11 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 8 6 12 26:45 30
12 Oriental 26 7 8 11 31:48 29
13 Real SC 26 3 5 18 24:46 14
14 Imortal 26 2 7 17 19:46 13
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)