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Real Sociedad B W vs Athletic Bilbao B W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women Instalaciones de Zubieta, Lasarte-Oria
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad B W host Athletic Bilbao B W in the Primera Federacion Women. This one's hard to separate. Athletic Bilbao B W have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Real Sociedad B W have conceded 1.6 and scored 0.6. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.10) point toward Athletic Bilbao B W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Real Sociedad B W
20%
Draws
58%
Athletic Bilbao B W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletic Bilbao B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athletic Bilbao B W lately — more wins on the board than Real Sociedad B W.
  • Win probability leans Real Sociedad B W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Primera Federacion Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Real Sociedad B W Clean Sheet 20%
Athletic Bilbao B W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad B W Athletic Bilbao B W
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 1 5
Draws 0 9
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 0.6 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad B W 36 / 100
Athletic Bilbao B W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad B W Athletic Bilbao B W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Bilbao B W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Real Sociedad B W found the back of the net in 20% of recent matches (5 games).

Real Sociedad B W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Athletic Bilbao B W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad B W VS Athletic Bilbao B W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
17% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad B W

(Home)
04 Oct
Real Union W
1 : 0
Real Sociedad B W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad B W
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B W
19 Sept
Albacete W
2 : 0
Real Sociedad B W
13 Sept
Real Sociedad B W
3 : 2
Cacereno W
07 Aug
CA Osasuna W
1 : 0
Real Sociedad B W

Athletic Bilbao B W

(Away)
03 Oct
Athletic Bilbao B W
0 : 6
CA Osasuna W
26 Sept
Villarreal W
1 : 1
Athletic Bilbao B W
20 Sept
Athletic Bilbao B W
1 : 0
Tenerife B W
13 Sept
Sport Extremadura CD W
0 : 0
Athletic Bilbao B W
29 Aug
Athletic Bilbao B W
2 : 1
Real Oviedo W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levante W 4 3 0 1 13:9 9
2 Alhama W 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Atl. Madrid B W 4 3 0 1 13:12 9
4 CA Osasuna W 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
5 Albacete W 4 2 0 2 8:4 6
6 Cacereno W 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
7 Villarreal W 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
8 Sport Extremadura CD W 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Athletic Bilbao B W 4 1 2 1 2:7 5
10 Barcelona B W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
11 Real Union W 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
12 Tenerife B W 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
13 Real Sociedad B W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
14 Real Madrid B W 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Liga F Women 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women (Promotion - Play Offs)