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Real Sociedad C vs Anorga Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Urain I.
90' Event
Otxoa A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Real Sociedad C and Anorga finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anorga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Real Sociedad C
30%
Draws
33%
Anorga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Sociedad C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Sociedad C come out ahead of Anorga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Real Sociedad C's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 68%
Anorga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad C Anorga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.03 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anorga vs Real Sociedad C
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Anorga
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 1.01

Anorga Compare

Top Goalscorer Urain I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otxoa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad C 86 / 100
Anorga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad C Anorga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Sociedad C scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Anorga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Real Sociedad C remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad C VS Anorga
2.63 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad C

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0
Real Sociedad C
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
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Anorga

(Away)
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2
Lagun Onak
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)