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Real Sociedad C vs Balmaseda Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Real Sociedad C
35%
Draws
38%
Balmaseda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Real Sociedad C have won more games recently than Balmaseda.
  • Win probability leans Real Sociedad C's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 68%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad C Balmaseda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.65 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Balmaseda
1:1
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Real Sociedad C
2:4
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Balmaseda
2:0
Oct 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Real Sociedad C
2:0
Jan 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Balmaseda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad C 59 / 100
Balmaseda 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad C Balmaseda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Sociedad C scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Balmaseda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Real Sociedad C stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad C VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad C

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0
Real Sociedad C
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
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Balmaseda

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)