Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Sociedad C vs Lagun Onak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Nebreda E.
66' Event
Elcano M.

AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Sociedad C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Real Sociedad C
30%
Draws
33%
Lagun Onak
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Sociedad C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Sociedad C lately — more wins on the board than Lagun Onak.
  • Real Sociedad C are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 68%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad C Lagun Onak
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Lagun Onak
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Real Sociedad C
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Lagun Onak
1:4
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Real Sociedad C
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Lagun Onak
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad C Compare

Top Goalscorer Nebreda E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elcano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Lagun Onak Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad C 59 / 100
Lagun Onak 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad C Lagun Onak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sociedad C found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Real Sociedad C went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lagun Onak has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad C VS Lagun Onak
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad C

(Home)
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0
Real Sociedad C
Page 1 of 6

Lagun Onak

(Away)
03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)