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Real Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Berenguer A. In: Serrano N.
Out: Berenguer A.
46'
Sub
Alvarez Y. In: Jauregizar M.
Out: Alvarez Y.
46'
Sub
Remiro A. In: Marrero U.
Out: Remiro A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Real Sociedad and Ath Bilbao finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ath Bilbao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Real Sociedad
20%
Draws
52%
Ath Bilbao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ath Bilbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ath Bilbao come out ahead of Real Sociedad on wins alone.
  • Real Sociedad are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 17%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad Ath Bilbao
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Real Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Copa del Rey
Real Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Copa del Rey
Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ath Bilbao Compare

Top Goalscorer Sannadi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad 41 / 100
Ath Bilbao 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad Ath Bilbao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sociedad found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Ath Bilbao let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Real Sociedad remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad VS Ath Bilbao
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad

(Home)
11 Oct
Real Sociedad
3 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3
Atl. Madrid
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Ath Bilbao

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
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