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Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Oskarsson O.
46'
Sub
Marchal A. In: Carrera G.
Out: Marchal A.
46'
Sub
Lebarbier A. In: Soler C.
Out: Lebarbier A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Real Sociedad
15%
Draws
39%
Racing Santander
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Sociedad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Santander have won more games recently than Real Sociedad.
  • Model gives Real Sociedad a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 10%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad Racing Santander
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander
1:1
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad
1:0
Jan 30, 2014 Copa del Rey
Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad
0:3
Jan 22, 2014 Copa del Rey
Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander
3:1
Apr 28, 2012 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad Compare

Top Goalscorer Oskarsson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Racing Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad 83 / 100
Racing Santander 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad Racing Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Sociedad scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Racing Santander conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Real Sociedad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad VS Racing Santander
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad

(Home)
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3
Atl. Madrid
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
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Racing Santander

(Away)
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
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