Sport Picks
Real Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 Anoeta, San Sebastian 
Match Events
3'
3'
Munoz A.
Assist: Elustondo A.
8'
8'
Guerra J.
Assist: Lopez D.
22'
22'
Duro H.
Assist: Comert E.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Real Sociedad and Valencia finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valencia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Sociedad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Valencia come out ahead of Real Sociedad on wins alone.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Real Sociedad taking it.
- Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Sociedad | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
2:3
May 17, 2026 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
3:4
Aug 16, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Sociedad Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Oskarsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Valencia Compare
Top Goalscorer Guerra J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Duro H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Sociedad 95 / 100
Valencia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Sociedad Valencia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Sociedad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Real Sociedad scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Valencia has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Real Sociedad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Real Sociedad VS Valencia
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Sociedad
(Home) 20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 Celta Vigo
29 Aug
Real Sociedad
2 : 1 Espanyol
18 Jul
Real Sociedad
1 : 1 Racing Santander
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Valencia
(Away) 20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1 Valencia
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0 Valencia
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5 Barcelona
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1 Valencia
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1 Valencia
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0 Valencia
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1 Valencia
13 Aug
Hercules
0 : 2 Valencia
01 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 1 Valencia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
