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Real Sociedad vs Valencia

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Anoeta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad play Valencia in the LaLiga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Sociedad averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Valencia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Real Sociedad won 2, Valencia won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Real Sociedad and 1.38 for Valencia. This points to a Real Sociedad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Real Sociedad
33%
Draws
40%
Valencia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Valencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Valencia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Real Sociedad.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Valencia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in LaLiga 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 17%
Valencia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad Valencia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
3:4
Aug 16, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
3:0
May 16, 2024 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oskarsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Valencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Duro H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad 28 / 100
Valencia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad Valencia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sociedad scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Valencia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Real Sociedad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Valencia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad VS Valencia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona38311695:3694
2Real Madrid38275677:3586
3Villarreal382261072:4672
4Atl. Madrid382161162:4469
5Betis381515859:4860
6Celta Vigo3814121253:4854
7Getafe381561732:3851
8Rayo Vallecano3812141241:4450
9Valencia3813101546:5549
10Real Sociedad3811131459:6146
11Espanyol3812101643:5546
12Ath Bilbao381361943:5845
13Sevilla381271946:6043
14Alaves3811101744:5643
15Elche3810131549:5743
16Levante381191847:6142
17Osasuna381191844:5042
18Mallorca381191847:5742
19Girona389141539:5541
20Real Oviedo386112126:6029