Sport Picks

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Real Sociedad W vs Chelsea W

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Women Estadio Zubieta, San Sebastian
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Camino L.
46'
Sub
James L. In: Dragoni G.
Out: James L.
54' Event
Walsh K.
Assist: Baltimore S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Real Sociedad W
35%
Draws
44%
Chelsea W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Chelsea W have won more games recently than Real Sociedad W.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Chelsea W taking it.
  • Chelsea W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Real Sociedad W Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad W Chelsea W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 22
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.55 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
Real Sociedad W vs Chelsea W
0:1
Aug 26, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Chelsea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Walsh K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad W 10 / 100
Chelsea W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad W Chelsea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Real Sociedad W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Real Sociedad W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Chelsea W has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad W VS Chelsea W
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad W

(Home)
30 Sept
Real Sociedad W
4 : 0
Hearts W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
23 Sept
Hearts W
0 : 0
Real Sociedad W
19 Sept
Badalona W
0 : 0
Real Sociedad W
13 Sept
Real Sociedad W
1 : 1
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
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Chelsea W

(Away)
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
13 Sept
Manchester United W
0 : 5
Chelsea W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Sparta Prague W 3
Servette W 5
PSV W 1
Koge W 2
Brann W 2
Austria Vienna W 5
Leuven W 6
Czarni Sosnowiec W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 2
PSG W 6
St. Polten W 1
Juventus W 4
Wolfsburg W 3
Inter W 4
Chelsea W 6
Real Sociedad W 2
Ajax W 1
Real Madrid W 4