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Real Sociedad W vs Real Madrid W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Instalaciones de Zubieta, Lasarte-Oria
Real Sociedad W Logo

Real Sociedad W

3 - 5
FT
Real Madrid W Logo

Real Madrid W

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Beerensteyn L.
Assist: San Martin O.
5' Event
Marcos C.
Assist: Eizaguirre N.
28'
Navarro E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid W in this Liga F Women matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real Sociedad W
35%
Draws
32%
Real Madrid W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Madrid W lately — more wins on the board than Real Sociedad W.
  • Model gives Real Sociedad W a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Madrid W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Real Sociedad W Clean Sheet 10%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad W Real Madrid W
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 16 26
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.66 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Real Madrid W
3:5
Mar 14, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Real Madrid W
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Real Sociedad W
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Real Sociedad W
3:0
Feb 13, 2025 Copa de la Reina Women
Real Madrid W vs Real Sociedad W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabritz S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schroder F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad W 74 / 100
Real Madrid W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad W Real Madrid W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Real Sociedad W scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Real Sociedad W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Madrid W let in goals in 47% of their last 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad W VS Real Madrid W
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad W

(Home)
04 Oct
Valencia W
0 : 1
Real Sociedad W
30 Sept
Real Sociedad W
4 : 0
Hearts W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
23 Sept
Hearts W
0 : 0
Real Sociedad W
19 Sept
Badalona W
0 : 0
Real Sociedad W
Page 1 of 7

Real Madrid W

(Away)
04 Oct
Barcelona W
7 : 0
Real Madrid W
01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1
Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)