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Real Union B vs Leioa Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Artola I.
Own Goal
29' Event
Caixas G.
36' Event
Etxebarria E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Real Union B
35%
Draws
40%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leioa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Real Union B haven't matched Leioa's recent run of results.
  • 25% — that's where the model lands on Real Union B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Real Union B Clean Sheet 16%
Leioa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union B Leioa
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 2 9
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Union B vs Leioa
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Union B Compare

Top Goalscorer Caixas G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zabalo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Leioa Compare

Top Goalscorer Etxebarria E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union B 57 / 100
Leioa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union B Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Union B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Real Union B scored in 60% of their last 5 outings.

Leioa has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Real Union B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Union B VS Leioa
1.17 Goals Scored 1.13
1.83 Goals Conceded 2.5
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union B

(Home)
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3
San Ignacio
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe

Leioa

(Away)
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5
Leioa
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)