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Real Union B vs UD Aretxabaleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Union B host UD Aretxabaleta in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. UD Aretxabaleta have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while Real Union B have conceded 2 and scored 1.17. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.73, favoring UD Aretxabaleta. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Real Union B
35%
Draws
40%
UD Aretxabaleta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD Aretxabaleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • UD Aretxabaleta have won more games recently than Real Union B.
  • Win probability leans UD Aretxabaleta's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Real Union B Clean Sheet 12%
UD Aretxabaleta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union B UD Aretxabaleta
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 1 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.62
Goals Conceded 2 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union B 27 / 100
UD Aretxabaleta 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union B UD Aretxabaleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Aretxabaleta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Aretxabaleta let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Real Union B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Real Union B scored in 50% of their last 6 games.

Difficult form: UD Aretxabaleta registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Union B VS UD Aretxabaleta
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.88
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union B

(Home)
10 Oct
Santurtzi
1 : 0
Real Union B
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3
San Ignacio
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
Page 1 of 2

UD Aretxabaleta

(Away)
11 Oct
UD Aretxabaleta
4 : 2
Pasaia
03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2
Derio
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 6 4 1 1 10:8 13
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 Real Sociedad C 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)