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Real Union Tenerife vs Atletico Paso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Andriu Hernandez S.
78' Event
Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

Real Union Tenerife host Atletico Paso in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Real Union Tenerife have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Atletico Paso's 1.63 scored and 0.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Real Union Tenerife have won 1 to Atletico Paso's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.25) back Atletico Paso to edge this. Atletico Paso in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Real Union Tenerife
28%
Draws
50%
Atletico Paso
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Atletico Paso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Paso has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Real Union Tenerife.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Atletico Paso.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Real Union Tenerife Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union Tenerife Atletico Paso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Real Union Tenerife vs Atletico Paso
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Real Union Tenerife
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Union Tenerife Compare

Top Goalscorer Andriu Hernandez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atletico Paso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union Tenerife 24 / 100
Atletico Paso 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union Tenerife Atletico Paso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Union Tenerife scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Paso let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Real Union Tenerife went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Paso lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Union Tenerife VS Atletico Paso
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125