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Real Union Tenerife vs Panaderia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Morales K.
69' Event
Mechehoud A.

AI Match Summary

Real Union Tenerife in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Union Tenerife.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Real Union Tenerife
15%
Draws
39%
Panaderia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Union Tenerife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Panaderia have won more games recently than Real Union Tenerife.
  • Model gives Real Union Tenerife a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Panaderia have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Real Union Tenerife Clean Sheet 68%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union Tenerife Panaderia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Real Union Tenerife vs Panaderia
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Real Union Tenerife
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Real Union Tenerife vs Panaderia
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Union Tenerife Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mechehoud A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Panaderia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union Tenerife 68 / 100
Panaderia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union Tenerife Panaderia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Union Tenerife Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Real Union Tenerife found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Panaderia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Real Union Tenerife remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Union Tenerife VS Panaderia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union Tenerife

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
CD Laguna
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0
Panaderia
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
12 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Los Llanos
26 Aug
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Tenerife B
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Panaderia

(Away)
03 Oct
Panaderia
5 : 2
Anaza
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0
Panaderia
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2
Panaderia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)