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Real Union vs Amorebieta Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Stadium Gal, Irun
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Soroeta J.
57' Event
Torrico A.
62' Event
Soroeta J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Real Union and Amorebieta finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Real Union
20%
Draws
29%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Real Union taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Real Union Clean Sheet 68%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union Amorebieta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.28 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Amorebieta
3:3
Sep 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Real Union
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Amorebieta vs Real Union
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Union vs Amorebieta
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Real Union
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Soroeta J.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Etxaniz J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Torrico A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union 68 / 100
Amorebieta 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Union scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Amorebieta has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Real Union stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Union VS Amorebieta
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union

(Home)
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2
Mirandes
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2
Real Union
05 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 4
Real Union
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
Page 1 of 6

Amorebieta

(Away)
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)