Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Union vs Basconia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Stadium Gal, Irun
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Oyono I.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Conde A.
69' Event
Soroeta J.

AI Match Summary

Basconia in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Real Union
6%
Draws
90%
Basconia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Union have won more games recently than Basconia.
  • Basconia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Real Union Clean Sheet 10%
Basconia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union Basconia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Basconia
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Real Union
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Soroeta J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Conde A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union 10 / 100
Basconia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union Basconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Union scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Basconia let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Real Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Union VS Basconia
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union

(Home)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Zaragoza B
3 : 1
Real Union
18 Apr
Real Union
3 : 3
Amorebieta
11 Apr
SD Ejea
3 : 2
Real Union
05 Apr
Real Union
3 : 0
Naxara
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Basconia

(Away)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
05 Apr
SD Logrones
0 : 3
Basconia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)