Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Union vs Beasain

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Stadium Gal, Irun
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Soroeta J.
32' Event
Arruti M.
59' Event
Louakima C.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Real Union and Beasain finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Real Union
20%
Draws
40%
Beasain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Union come out ahead of Beasain on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Real Union Clean Sheet 68%
Beasain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union Beasain
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.17 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Beasain
4:0
Sep 27, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Beasain vs Real Union
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Soroeta J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arruti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Beasain Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union 41 / 100
Beasain 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union Beasain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Union's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Beasain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Real Union has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Union VS Beasain
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union

(Home)
12 Aug
Real Union
3 : 0
Osasuna B
08 Aug
Real Union
1 : 1
Eibar
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Zaragoza B
3 : 1
Real Union
Page 1 of 6

Beasain

(Away)
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1
Alaves C
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
03 May
Beasain
3 : 2
Zaragoza B
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0
Beasain
19 Apr
Beasain
1 : 1
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)