Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Union vs Ebro

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Stadium Gal, Irun
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Soroeta J.
63' Event
Sangalli L.
78' Event
Soroeta J.

AI Match Summary

Real Union in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Real Union
17%
Draws
13%
Ebro
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Real Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Union have won more games recently than Ebro.
  • Real Union are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Real Union Clean Sheet 68%
Ebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union Ebro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 14
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Ebro
4:0
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Real Union
0:0
May 16, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Real Union
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Ebro
3:0
Jan 24, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Real Union
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Soroeta J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sangalli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Ebro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union 77 / 100
Ebro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Union scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Ebro let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Real Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Union VS Ebro
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union

(Home)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Zaragoza B
3 : 1
Real Union
18 Apr
Real Union
3 : 3
Amorebieta
11 Apr
SD Ejea
3 : 2
Real Union
05 Apr
Real Union
3 : 0
Naxara
Page 1 of 6

Ebro

(Away)
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
26 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 0
Ebro
18 Apr
Eibar B
1 : 2
Ebro
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0
Beasain
03 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Ebro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)