Sport Picks
Real Union vs Ebro
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Stadium Gal, Irun 
Match Events
55'
55'
Soroeta J.
63'
63'
Sangalli L.
78'
78'
Soroeta J.
AI Match Summary
Real Union in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Real Union have won more games recently than Ebro.
- Real Union are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Real Union Clean Sheet 68%
Ebro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Union | Ebro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.41 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Ebro
4:0
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Real Union
0:0
May 16, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Real Union
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Ebro
3:0
Jan 24, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Real Union
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Soroeta J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sangalli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Ebro Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Union 86 / 100
Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Union Ebro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Union scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Ebro let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Real Union went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Union VS Ebro
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Union
(Home) 19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2 Mirandes
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2 Real Union
05 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 4 Real Union
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1 CD Coria
12 Aug
Real Union
3 : 0 Osasuna B
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2 Mirandes
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1 CD Coria
12 Aug
Real Union
3 : 0 Osasuna B
08 Aug
Real Union
1 : 1 Eibar
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0 Alfaro
Page 1 of 3
Ebro
(Away) 20 Sept
Osasuna B
1 : 0 Ebro
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0 Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2 Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1 San Sebastian Reyes
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0 Ebro
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Osasuna B
1 : 0 Ebro
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2 Ebro
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0 Ebro
26 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 0 Ebro
18 Apr
Eibar B
1 : 2 Ebro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Union | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 64:35 | 69 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 41:20 | 62 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 73:33 | 61 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56:42 | 58 |
| 5 | Tudelano | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:40 | 57 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 38:32 | 50 |
| 7 | Sestao | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:33 | 50 |
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42:36 | 49 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Basconia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Gernika Club | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Naxara | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:48 | 41 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Beasain | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 15 | SD Ejea | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35:55 | 35 |
| 16 | Mutilvera | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:65 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 32:59 | 28 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | 25 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
