Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Union vs Naxara

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Stadium Gal, Irun
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Soroeta J.
52' Event
Miguelez S.
73' Event
Mecerreyes J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Real Union and Naxara finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Real Union
20%
Draws
7%
Naxara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Real Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Union's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Real Union have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Real Union Clean Sheet 68%
Naxara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union Naxara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Naxara
3:0
Dec 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Real Union
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Naxara vs Real Union
0:1
Sep 28, 2022 Copa Federacion
Real Union vs Naxara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Soroeta J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miguelez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Naxara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union 95 / 100
Naxara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union Naxara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Union scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Naxara has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Real Union stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Union VS Naxara
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union

(Home)
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2
Mirandes
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2
Real Union
05 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 4
Real Union
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
12 Aug
Real Union
3 : 0
Osasuna B
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Naxara

(Away)
20 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0
Naxara
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2
Olot
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0
Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)