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Real Union vs Portugalete

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ruiz P.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Perez A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Real Union
28%
Draws
22%
Portugalete
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Real Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Portugalete have won more games recently than Real Union.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Real Union taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Real Union Clean Sheet 68%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union Portugalete
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 21
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Real Union vs Portugalete
1:1
Mar 21, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Portugalete vs Real Union
2:0
Dec 20, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Portugalete
2:1
May 7, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Portugalete vs Real Union
1:0
Dec 19, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Portugalete
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Union Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Portugalete Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union 59 / 100
Portugalete 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union Portugalete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Union scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real Union remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Portugalete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Union VS Portugalete
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union

(Home)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Zaragoza B
3 : 1
Real Union
18 Apr
Real Union
3 : 3
Amorebieta
11 Apr
SD Ejea
3 : 2
Real Union
05 Apr
Real Union
3 : 0
Naxara
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Portugalete

(Away)
09 May
Alaves C
1 : 2
Portugalete
03 May
Portugalete
1 : 2
Aurrera de Vitoria
25 Apr
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
17 Apr
Portugalete
4 : 2
Eibar C
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
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