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Real Union vs Real Aviles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Stadium Gal, Irun
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Union host Real Aviles in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Real Aviles have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Real Union have conceded 1.36 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Real Union slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2004, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.75) point toward Real Union. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Real Union
35%
Draws
43%
Real Aviles
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Aviles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Union lately — more wins on the board than Real Aviles.
  • Win probability leans Real Aviles's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Real Union Clean Sheet 12%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union Real Aviles
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 13
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2004 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Real Union
0:2
Jan 3, 2004 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Union vs Real Aviles
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union 22 / 100
Real Aviles 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union Real Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Aviles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Union's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Real Aviles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Real Union has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Union VS Real Aviles
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union

(Home)
17 Oct
CD Extremadura
2 : 2
Real Union
11 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
0 : 0
Real Union
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2
Mirandes
Page 1 of 6

Real Aviles

(Away)
18 Oct
Real Aviles
3 : 0
UD Ourense
11 Oct
Ponferradina
0 : 2
Real Aviles
02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2
Lugo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 UD Logrones 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
3 Racing Club Ferrol 8 5 1 2 9:5 16
4 AD Merida 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
6 Zamora 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
7 Leonesa 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
8 Cacereno 8 3 3 2 7:5 12
9 Ponferradina 8 3 3 2 6:6 12
10 Real Aviles 8 3 2 3 14:10 11
11 Pontevedra 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
12 Mirandes 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
13 Real Union 8 2 4 2 15:13 10
14 CD Extremadura 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
15 Barakaldo 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
16 Deportivo Fabril 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
17 CD Coria 8 2 2 4 12:16 8
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
19 UD Ourense 8 1 2 5 3:13 5
20 Arenas Getxo 8 0 2 6 5:22 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)