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Rebel Kyiv vs Lokomotyv Kyiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Melnychenko I.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2025/2026 game between Rebel Kyiv and Lokomotyv Kyiv finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotyv Kyiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rebel Kyiv
33%
Draws
40%
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lokomotyv Kyiv come out ahead of Rebel Kyiv on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotyv Kyiv taking it.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lokomotyv Kyiv have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebel Kyiv Lokomotyv Kyiv
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 Druha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Rebel Kyiv
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rebel Kyiv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lokomotyv Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Melnychenko I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebel Kyiv 26 / 100
Lokomotyv Kyiv 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebel Kyiv Lokomotyv Kyiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rebel Kyiv's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Rebel Kyiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lokomotyv Kyiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 37% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rebel Kyiv VS Lokomotyv Kyiv
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebel Kyiv

(Home)
10 Jul
Kudrivka
2 : 1
Rebel Kyiv
16 May
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka
0 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
10 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
06 May
Trostyanets
1 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
02 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

Lokomotyv Kyiv

(Away)
25 Jul
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 1
FC Chernihiv
07 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv
31 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 2
Kulikiv
22 May
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
16 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6 : 0
Hirnyk-Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kulikiv30215458:1868
2Zhytomyr 230189369:2263
3Nyva Vinnytsya30156942:3251
4Nyva Ternopil 2301621230:4350
5Atlet Kiev301441245:4846
6FC Uzhhorod301351240:3744
7Skala 1911301351262:4844
8FC Vilkhivtsi301251350:4641
9Bukovyna 230761731:5727
10Real Pharma Odesa30142518:967
11Lisne30831932:3027
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotyv Kyiv30224465:1670
2Kolos Kovalivka 230216364:2269
3Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka30176758:4157
4Rebel Kyiv301551034:2750
5Livyi Bereg 230139850:2848
6Trostyanets30138946:3147
7Oleksandriya 2301281037:3244
8Ch. Odesa 230591625:5624
9Dinaz Vyshgorod30542126:6219
10Penuel Kryvyi Rih30381927:6417
11Hirnyk-Sport30352220:7314
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)