Sport Picks
Rebel Kyiv vs Lokomotyv Kyiv Prediction & H2H Stats
Ukraine
Druha Liga 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Ikenna S.
39'
39'
Panov D.
66'
66'
Savchuk P.
AI Match Summary
Lokomotyv Kyiv in this Druha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotyv Kyiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Lokomotyv Kyiv have won more games recently than Rebel Kyiv.
- Win probability leans Rebel Kyiv's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Druha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Lokomotyv Kyiv have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 16%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rebel Kyiv | Lokomotyv Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 Druha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Rebel Kyiv
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rebel Kyiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Panov D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Lokomotyv Kyiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Ikenna S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Savchuk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rebel Kyiv 36 / 100
Lokomotyv Kyiv 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rebel Kyiv Lokomotyv Kyiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rebel Kyiv scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Rebel Kyiv stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Lokomotyv Kyiv has conceded goals in 45% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rebel Kyiv VS Lokomotyv Kyiv
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rebel Kyiv
(Home) 27 Sept
Trostyanets
2 : 2 Rebel Kyiv
12 Sept
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 1 Rebel Kyiv
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3 Rebel Kyiv
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
0 : 4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
0 : 4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
09 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
3 : 5 Karbon Cherkasy
10 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 0 Oleksandriya 2
02 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv
(Away) 26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0 Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
04 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0 Lokomotyv Kyiv
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
04 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0 Lokomotyv Kyiv
14 Aug
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0 : 0 Lokomotyv Kyiv
02 Aug
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
2 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
07 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0 Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kulikiv | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 58:18 | 68 |
| 2 | Zhytomyr 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 69:22 | 63 |
| 3 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 42:32 | 51 |
| 4 | Nyva Ternopil 2 | 30 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 30:43 | 50 |
| 5 | Atlet Kiev | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 45:48 | 46 |
| 6 | FC Uzhhorod | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 44 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 62:48 | 44 |
| 8 | FC Vilkhivtsi | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 50:46 | 41 |
| 9 | Bukovyna 2 | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 31:57 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Pharma Odesa | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 18:96 | 7 |
| 11 | Lisne | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 32:30 | 27 |
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 65:16 | 70 |
| 2 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 64:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 58:41 | 57 |
| 4 | Rebel Kyiv | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 34:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Livyi Bereg 2 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 50:28 | 48 |
| 6 | Trostyanets | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 46:31 | 47 |
| 7 | Oleksandriya 2 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:32 | 44 |
| 8 | Ch. Odesa 2 | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 25:56 | 24 |
| 9 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 26:62 | 19 |
| 10 | Penuel Kryvyi Rih | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 27:64 | 17 |
| 11 | Hirnyk-Sport | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 20:73 | 14 |
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)
