Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rebordosa vs Aparecida

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Goncalves L.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Sarpong E.
61' Event
Sousa C.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Rebordosa and Aparecida finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rebordosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rebordosa
15%
Draws
57%
Aparecida
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aparecida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rebordosa come out ahead of Aparecida on wins alone.
  • Rebordosa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 12%
Aparecida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebordosa Aparecida
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.03 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Aparecida
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Aparecida vs Rebordosa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rebordosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Aparecida Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarpong E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebordosa 40 / 100
Aparecida 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebordosa Aparecida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rebordosa scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Aparecida's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rebordosa VS Aparecida
1 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebordosa

(Home)
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
31 May
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Rebordosa
22 May
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Leca
Page 1 of 6

Aparecida

(Away)
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Leca
5 : 1
Aparecida
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Aparecida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)