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Rebordosa vs Leca Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 Complexo Desportivo Azevido, Rebordosa
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Soares Almeida D.
70' Event
Sousa C.
76' Event
Fortes M.

AI Match Summary

Rebordosa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rebordosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Rebordosa
15%
Draws
59%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leca lately — more wins on the board than Rebordosa.
  • Model gives Leca a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 19%
Leca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebordosa Leca
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.23 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Rebordosa vs Leca
2:1
May 3, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Leca vs Rebordosa
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Leca
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Rebordosa
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Rebordosa vs Leca
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rebordosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares Almeida D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sousa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebordosa 28 / 100
Leca 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebordosa Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rebordosa scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Leca conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rebordosa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rebordosa VS Leca
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebordosa

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

Leca

(Away)
20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Leca
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)