Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rebordosa vs Oliveira do Douro

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Djadjo D.
68' Event
Djadjo D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 game between Rebordosa and Oliveira do Douro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rebordosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rebordosa
15%
Draws
49%
Oliveira do Douro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveira do Douro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rebordosa come out ahead of Oliveira do Douro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rebordosa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 20%
Oliveira do Douro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebordosa Oliveira do Douro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Oliveira do Douro
2:0
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Oliveira do Douro vs Rebordosa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rebordosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Djadjo D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Oliveira do Douro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebordosa 36 / 100
Oliveira do Douro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebordosa Oliveira do Douro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rebordosa scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Oliveira do Douro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Oliveira do Douro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rebordosa VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebordosa

(Home)
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
31 May
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Rebordosa
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Oliveira do Douro

(Away)
07 Apr
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 1
Amarante FC
24 Mar
Rebordosa
2 : 0
Oliveira do Douro
17 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 2
Paredes
09 Mar
AD Marco 09
2 : 4
Oliveira do Douro
03 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 26 17 8 1 40:15 59
2 Sao Joao de Ver 26 12 9 5 27:18 45
3 Gondomar 26 12 7 7 28:20 43
4 AD Marco 09 26 11 8 7 29:22 41
5 Rebordosa 26 8 12 6 27:23 36
6 Paredes 26 9 8 9 31:25 35
7 SC Salgueiros 26 9 8 9 35:26 35
8 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 8 10 8 35:32 34
9 Beira Mar 26 8 10 8 31:31 34
10 Florgrade 26 8 9 9 24:24 33
11 Oliveira do Douro 26 6 8 12 25:33 26
12 Valadares Gaia FC 26 6 6 14 22:47 24
13 ACDR Lamelas 26 7 3 16 19:39 24
14 Vila Mea 26 6 4 16 27:45 22
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)