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Rebordosa vs Vila Mea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Complexo Desportivo Azevido, Rebordosa
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Soares Almeida D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Rebordosa and Vila Mea finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rebordosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Rebordosa
20%
Draws
51%
Vila Mea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vila Mea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Rebordosa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vila Mea are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 19%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebordosa Vila Mea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Rebordosa vs Vila Mea
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs Rebordosa
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Vila Mea
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs Rebordosa
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Vila Mea
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rebordosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares Almeida D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Vila Mea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebordosa 28 / 100
Vila Mea 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebordosa Vila Mea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Mea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rebordosa scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Vila Mea has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rebordosa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rebordosa VS Vila Mea
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebordosa

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
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Vila Mea

(Away)
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Vila Mea
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
Ponte da Barca
1 : 2
Vila Mea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 AD Limianos 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
6 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)