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Recanatese vs Montecchio Gallo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Recanatese and Montecchio Gallo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Recanatese
35%
Draws
32%
Montecchio Gallo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Montecchio Gallo haven't matched Recanatese's recent run of results.
  • Recanatese are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 68%
Montecchio Gallo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recanatese Montecchio Gallo
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 8 2
Draws 10 1
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Montecchio Gallo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recanatese 50 / 100
Montecchio Gallo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recanatese Montecchio Gallo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recanatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Recanatese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Recanatese found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Montecchio Gallo let in goals in 50% of their last 4 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Recanatese VS Montecchio Gallo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.8
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.6
88% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Recanatese

(Home)
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Montecchio Gallo
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1
Recanatese
06 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Pietralunga
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Montecchio Gallo

(Away)
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Montecchio Gallo
16 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
2 : 1
Pietralunga
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1
Montecchio Gallo
06 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
1 : 2
Santegidiese

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia 4 4 0 0 10:4 12
2 Teramo 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
3 Foligno 4 3 0 1 5:5 9
4 Aquila Calcio 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Ancona 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Santegidiese 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
7 Atletico Ascoli 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
8 Montecchio Gallo 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
9 Recanatese 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Fossombrone 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
11 Lanciano FC 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
12 Notaresco Calcio 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
13 Termoli 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
14 Maceratese 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
15 Angelana 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
16 Giulianova 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
17 Pietralunga 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
18 Sporting Trestina 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)