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Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Recanatese host Sporting Trestina in the Serie D - Group F. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Recanatese at 1.25 goals for, 1.71 against; Sporting Trestina at 1 for, 1.52 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.13, favoring Sporting Trestina. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Recanatese
15%
Draws
85%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Trestina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Trestina come out ahead of Recanatese on wins alone.
  • Sporting Trestina are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recanatese Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recanatese 28 / 100
Sporting Trestina 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recanatese Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Trestina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recanatese scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Sporting Trestina has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Sporting Trestina lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recanatese VS Sporting Trestina
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Recanatese

(Home)
21 Oct
Ternana
5 : 1
Recanatese
18 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Aquila Calcio
10 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Recanatese
04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Maceratese
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Trestina

(Away)
17 Oct
Pietralunga
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
11 Oct
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Teramo
04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)