Sport Picks
Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio, Itauguá 
Match Events
14'
14'
Vegetti P.
Assist: Aliseda I.
34'
34'
Vegetti P.
Assist: Gamarra A.
44'
44'
Ramirez I.
Assist: Chena C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerro Porteno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Cerro Porteno have won more games recently than Recoleta.
- Recoleta are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Cerro Porteno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Cerro Porteno have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 16%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recoleta | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno
1:3
May 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Recoleta
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Recoleta
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereira M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Cerro Porteno Compare
Top Goalscorer Vegetti P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ramirez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Recoleta 36 / 100
Cerro Porteno 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Recoleta Cerro Porteno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Recoleta scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Cerro Porteno has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Recoleta stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recoleta VS Cerro Porteno
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Recoleta
(Home) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Cerro Porteno
(Away) 10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3 Cerro Porteno
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3 Cerro Porteno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
27 Aug
Resistencia
0 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
