Sport Picks
Recoleta vs Olimpia Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio, Itauguá 
Match Events
7'
7'
Rodriguez Armoa A. F.
Assist: Benitez R.
22'
22'
Ortiz R.
29'
29'
Alfonso F.
Assist: Cardozo F.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Olimpia Asuncion come out ahead of Recoleta on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Olimpia Asuncion have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recoleta | Olimpia Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Recoleta
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Oct 10, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Recoleta
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Armoa A. F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alfonso F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Recoleta 34 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Recoleta Olimpia Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recoleta's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Olimpia Asuncion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recoleta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recoleta VS Olimpia Asuncion
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Recoleta
(Home) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Olimpia Asuncion
(Away) 06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
26 Aug
Cristobal Colon FC
3 : 5 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
