Sport Picks
Recoleta vs San Lorenzo
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Ricardo Gregor 
AI Match Summary
Recoleta play San Lorenzo in the Copa de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, Recoleta averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. San Lorenzo averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Recoleta won 4, San Lorenzo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.32 for Recoleta and 0.78 for San Lorenzo. This points to a Recoleta double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Recoleta picked up more points recently compared to San Lorenzo.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.32 vs 0.78 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recoleta | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.57 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.14 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recoleta Compare
San Lorenzo Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recoleta scored in 84% of their last 32 games.
San Lorenzo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Recoleta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
San Lorenzo lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |