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Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Recoleta at 1.41 goals for, 1.71 against; Sportivo Ameliano at 1.17 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Recoleta have won 2 to Sportivo Ameliano's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.19) back Sportivo Ameliano to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Recoleta
30%
Draws
39%
Sportivo Ameliano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Recoleta lately — more wins on the board than Sportivo Ameliano.
  • Recoleta are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Recoleta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Sportivo Ameliano
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 13
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
3:1
May 11, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
3:2
Mar 9, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
1:4
Jul 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 42 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Sportivo Ameliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Sportivo Ameliano conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Recoleta stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS Sportivo Ameliano
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
12 Oct
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 0
Recoleta
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
Page 1 of 7

Sportivo Ameliano

(Away)
12 Oct
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Sportivo Ameliano
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 2 de Mayo 14 8 4 2 17:13 28
2 Olimpia Asuncion 14 8 3 3 22:10 27
3 Libertad Asuncion 14 8 3 3 23:16 27
4 Nacional Asuncion 14 7 5 2 21:8 26
5 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
6 Guarani 14 5 7 2 16:12 22
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 14 4 6 4 15:16 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 14 3 4 7 15:24 13
11 Recoleta 14 2 2 10 14:27 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)