Sport Picks
Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Ricardo Gregor, Asunción 
Match Events
19'
19'
Dominguez R.
25'
25'
Mosquera D.
35'
35'
Morinigo A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sportivo Trinidense have won more games recently than Recoleta.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Sportivo Trinidense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 15%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recoleta | Sportivo Trinidense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:3
Mar 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Recoleta
3:2
Jan 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Recoleta
2:3
Jul 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Charpentier P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Top Goalscorer Morinigo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Camacho N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Recoleta 35 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Recoleta Sportivo Trinidense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportivo Trinidense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recoleta found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Sportivo Trinidense let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Recoleta remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recoleta VS Sportivo Trinidense
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Recoleta
(Home) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
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05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
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Sportivo Trinidense
(Away) 10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
02 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
0 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
25 Aug
Sol de America
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
21 Aug
Rubio Nu
0 : 0 Sportivo Trinidense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
